Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 39.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 41.9% vs Greig 44.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 59.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 59.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 61.9%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Dach
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dach
Greig
Last 6: Dach 4-2 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Dach
Greig
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
2
0
Dach
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (213)
38.8% (103)
-0.3%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
60.0% (5)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Dach has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Dach is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Dach shoots right. Greig is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Dach
Greig
Home
38.8% (147)
37.7% (53)
Away
37.5% (80)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Dach
Greig
P1
36.3%
41.7%
P2
40.0%
39.3%
P3
40.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
27.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
44.0%▬
43.5%
38.3%
Greig
48.0%▬
48.0%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |