Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 50.6% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 50.3%
Defensive zone
Greig 83.1%
Neutral zone
Greig 67.8%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Greig
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Greig
Trocheck
Last 6: Greig 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Greig
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Greig
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (336)
57.8% (626)
-6.3%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
63.6% (151)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (81)
44.0% (141)
-0.8%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Greig is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Greig shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Greig
Trocheck
Home
50.2% (247)
54.4% (390)
Away
51.5% (194)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Greig
Trocheck
P1
46.9%
56.4%
P2
58.8%
58.7%
P3
48.3%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |