Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Wennberg wins 34.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 43.7% vs Nash 50.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 79.7%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 73.6%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 73.1%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Wennberg
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Wennberg
Nash
Last 10: Wennberg 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Wennberg
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Wennberg
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
6
Wennberg
Nash
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (569)
50.1% (752)
-7.6%
Power Play
48.8% (41)
53.8% (104)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (64)
53.9% (102)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Wennberg is 34.3% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Wennberg shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nash
Home
46.8% (340)
51.0% (502)
Away
38.6% (334)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Wennberg
Nash
P1
38.2%
49.4%
P2
42.9%
50.9%
P3
47.7%
52.1%
OT
37.5%
63.6%
Final 5 min
41.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
42.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |