Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Wennberg wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 44.0% vs Nash 49.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Wennberg leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 69.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 73.4%
Neutral zone
Nash 73.8%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Wennberg
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Wennberg
Nash
Last 10: Wennberg 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
5
2
Wennberg
Nash
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Wennberg
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (788)
50.7% (341)
-7.9%
Power Play
47.0% (100)
58.3% (24)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
24.0% (25)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Wennberg has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Wennberg is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Wennberg shoots left. Nash is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nash
Home
47.6% (483)
50.0% (200)
Away
38.7% (439)
48.9% (190)
By Period
Wennberg
Nash
P1
41.5%
47.1%
P2
46.3%
60.6%
P3
42.2%
38.1%
OT
45.8%
71.4%
Final 5 min
42.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 15:42 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Riley Nash |