Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 48.1% vs Nash 50.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 77.9%
Defensive zone
Richardson 52.0%
Neutral zone
Richardson 52.8%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Richardson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Richardson
Nash
Last 5: Richardson 5-0 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
0
Richardson
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
0
Richardson
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (437)
50.1% (752)
-0.7%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
53.8% (104)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (134)
53.9% (102)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Richardson is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Richardson shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Richardson
Nash
Home
45.9% (270)
51.0% (502)
Away
49.4% (308)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Richardson
Nash
P1
45.9%
49.4%
P2
46.5%
50.9%
P3
51.3%
52.1%
OT
33.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
47.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 04:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |