Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 50.8% vs Nash 49.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 57.3%
Defensive zone
Richardson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Richardson 55.3%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Richardson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Richardson
Nash
Last 5: Richardson 3-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
2
Richardson
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (107)
51.2% (283)
+3.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (38)
39.0% (41)
+3.1%
On power play, Nash has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Richardson is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Richardson shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Richardson
Nash
Home
56.5% (92)
50.6% (178)
Away
42.9% (56)
48.6% (148)
By Period
Richardson
Nash
P1
62.1%
46.8%
P2
46.0%
45.5%
P3
42.5%
56.4%
Final 5 min
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
51.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |