Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Nash 46.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 72.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 84.7%
Neutral zone
Paquette 68.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Paquette
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Paquette
Nash
Last 5: Paquette 4-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
1
Paquette
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
46.1% (306)
+8.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
16.7% (6)
+83.3%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
38.1% (21)
+2.1%
On power play, Paquette has a +83.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Paquette is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Paquette shoots left. Nash is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Paquette
Nash
Home
53.3% (428)
46.5% (157)
Away
51.8% (340)
43.8% (176)
By Period
Paquette
Nash
P1
54.4%
47.7%
P2
53.0%
39.8%
P3
50.6%
47.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Riley Nash |