Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fehr wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 45.9% vs Nash 49.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 57.5%
Defensive zone
Fehr 72.2%
Neutral zone
Fehr 54.6%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Fehr
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fehr
Nash
Last 5: Fehr 2-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fehr
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Fehr
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (210)
50.7% (341)
-4.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
58.3% (24)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
24.0% (25)
+3.3%
On power play, Nash has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Fehr is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Fehr shoots right. Nash is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Fehr
Nash
Home
44.7% (159)
50.0% (200)
Away
43.4% (83)
48.9% (190)
By Period
Fehr
Nash
P1
41.5%
47.1%
P2
46.2%
60.6%
P3
44.1%
38.1%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
41.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
44.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |