Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 45.5% vs Nash 48.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 70.1%
Defensive zone
Josefson 51.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 59.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Josefson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Josefson
Nash
Last 5: Josefson 3-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
1
Josefson
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (272)
47.7% (801)
-2.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
51.2% (41)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
52.3% (107)
-17.4%
On power play, Josefson has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Josefson is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Josefson shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Josefson
Nash
Home
43.5% (168)
50.1% (467)
Away
44.7% (152)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Josefson
Nash
P1
42.1%
52.1%
P2
46.0%
44.9%
P3
44.0%
47.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Riley Nash |