Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.2% vs Nash 49.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 64.3%
Defensive zone
Nash 85.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.2%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Dickinson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Dickinson
Nash
Last 9: Dickinson 6-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Dickinson
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
0
Dickinson
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (272)
51.2% (283)
-3.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
39.0% (41)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Dickinson is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Dickinson shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Nash
Home
47.4% (175)
50.6% (178)
Away
44.6% (121)
48.6% (148)
By Period
Dickinson
Nash
P1
38.8%
46.8%
P2
50.5%
45.5%
P3
48.5%
56.4%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | OT | 02:53 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |