Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 51.4% vs Nash 46.5% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 85.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 58.4%
Neutral zone
Nash 67.5%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Beagle
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Beagle
Nash
Last 9: Beagle 2-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
4
Beagle
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Beagle
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (514)
46.0% (615)
+5.2%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
58.6% (29)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (41)
27.3% (22)
+36.1%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Beagle is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Beagle shoots right. Nash is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Home / Away
Beagle
Nash
Home
57.1% (280)
54.1% (320)
Away
46.4% (293)
38.4% (346)
By Period
Beagle
Nash
P1
46.5%
44.8%
P2
56.3%
47.5%
P3
52.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Riley Nash |