Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.7% vs Nash 48.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 85.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 58.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 71.2%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Beagle
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Beagle
Nash
Last 5: Beagle 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Beagle
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Beagle
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (735)
47.7% (801)
+12.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
51.2% (41)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (256)
52.3% (107)
+1.6%
On even strength, Beagle has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Beagle is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Beagle shoots right. Nash is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Beagle
Nash
Home
61.9% (475)
50.1% (467)
Away
55.4% (523)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Beagle
Nash
P1
60.5%
52.1%
P2
54.4%
44.9%
P3
61.3%
47.3%
OT
33.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
60.6%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Riley Nash |