Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Nash 49.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 88.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 59.5%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 82.4%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Mitchell
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Mitchell
Nash
Last 7: Mitchell 5-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
50.9% (481)
+4.8%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
27.3% (11)
+31.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
40.0% (70)
+11.2%
On power play, Mitchell has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Mitchell is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Mitchell shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Nash
Home
61.9% (265)
46.5% (282)
Away
49.1% (273)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Mitchell
Nash
P1
54.9%
48.5%
P2
56.8%
47.3%
P3
54.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Riley Nash |