Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 52.4% vs Nash 46.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 84.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 66.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 69.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Chipchura
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Chipchura
Nash
Last 5: Chipchura 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Chipchura
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chipchura
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (326)
46.0% (615)
+7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
58.6% (29)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
27.3% (22)
+39.4%
On penalty kill, Chipchura has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Chipchura is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Chipchura shoots left. Nash is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Nash
Home
53.1% (147)
54.1% (320)
Away
53.3% (184)
38.4% (346)
By Period
Chipchura
Nash
P1
45.2%
44.8%
P2
59.3%
47.5%
P3
55.4%
44.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
64.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
53.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2013 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |