Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Perreault wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 51.3% vs Nash 45.8% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 63.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 60.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 64.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Perreault
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Perreault
Nash
Last 10: Perreault 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Perreault
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
0
Perreault
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
4
Perreault
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (297)
44.8% (270)
+7.1%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
50.0% (10)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
22.2% (9)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Perreault is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Perreault shoots left. Nash is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Perreault
Nash
Home
55.4% (184)
44.2% (147)
Away
46.8% (141)
44.4% (142)
By Period
Perreault
Nash
P1
61.5%
39.1%
P2
48.7%
47.8%
P3
45.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Riley Nash |