Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Perreault wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 50.9% vs Nash 49.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 55.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 72.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 56.5%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Perreault
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Perreault
Nash
Last 6: Perreault 2-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Perreault
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
0
Perreault
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Perreault
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (147)
50.9% (481)
-3.3%
Power Play
63.4% (41)
27.3% (11)
+36.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.0% (70)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Perreault has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Perreault is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Perreault shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Perreault
Nash
Home
57.0% (121)
46.5% (282)
Away
41.2% (68)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Perreault
Nash
P1
56.9%
48.5%
P2
42.1%
47.3%
P3
53.4%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Riley Nash |