Scouting Report
Mikhail Grabovski holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 50.5% vs Nash 45.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 69.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 64.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 65.4%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Grabovski
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Grabovski
Nash
Last 5: Grabovski 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Grabovski
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
0
Grabovski
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Grabovski
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (568)
44.8% (270)
+7.1%
Power Play
39.1% (69)
50.0% (10)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
22.2% (9)
+77.8%
On penalty kill, Grabovski has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Grabovski is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Grabovski shoots left. Nash is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Nash
Home
51.6% (318)
44.2% (147)
Away
49.7% (320)
44.4% (142)
By Period
Grabovski
Nash
P1
52.6%
39.1%
P2
49.5%
47.8%
P3
50.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |