Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 46.2% vs Nash 50.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 65.3%
Defensive zone
Nash 57.9%
Neutral zone
Nash 62.2%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Varone
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Varone
Nash
Last 5: Varone 3-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
2
0
Varone
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
0
Varone
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Varone
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
50.1% (752)
-4.7%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
53.8% (104)
-17.4%
On power play, Nash has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Varone is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Varone shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Varone
Nash
Home
44.5% (119)
51.0% (502)
Away
45.4% (207)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Varone
Nash
P1
44.5%
49.4%
P2
38.6%
50.9%
P3
53.5%
52.1%
OT
33.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
36.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Phil Varone |