Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 49.6% vs Kesler 58.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 61.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 90.5%
Neutral zone
Kesler 75.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Nash
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nash
Kesler
Last 6: Nash 4-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
2
1
Nash
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
1
Nash
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (341)
58.6% (1,138)
-7.9%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
64.5% (186)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
24.0% (25)
55.0% (351)
-31.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Nash is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Nash shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Nash
Kesler
Home
50.0% (200)
61.0% (859)
Away
48.9% (190)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Nash
Kesler
P1
47.1%
59.1%
P2
60.6%
56.5%
P3
38.1%
60.5%
OT
71.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.4%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Riley Nash |