Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 48.5% vs Kesler 52.9% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 63.9%
Defensive zone
Nash 61.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 60.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Nash
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nash
Kesler
Last 6: Nash 2-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Nash
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
0
Nash
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (801)
55.2% (567)
-7.5%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
54.9% (51)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (107)
45.0% (131)
+7.3%
On even strength, Kesler has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Nash is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Nash shoots right. Kesler is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Nash
Kesler
Home
50.1% (467)
55.7% (388)
Away
46.7% (482)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Nash
Kesler
P1
52.1%
56.3%
P2
44.9%
52.5%
P3
47.3%
52.6%
OT
63.6%
35.3%
Final 5 min
43.2%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |