Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nash wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 48.2% vs Monahan 52.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 91.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 50.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 67.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Nash
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Nash
Monahan
Last 9: Nash 6-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Nash
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
5
0
Nash
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (449)
52.1% (858)
-3.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
55.9% (177)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (55)
33.3% (9)
+12.2%
On power play, Monahan has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Nash is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Nash shoots right. Monahan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Nash
Monahan
Home
51.6% (275)
52.6% (504)
Away
43.5% (237)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Nash
Monahan
P1
52.7%
56.7%
P2
43.9%
52.1%
P3
47.7%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Riley Nash |