Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 49.6% vs Horcoff 51.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 70.2%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 61.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 56.6%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Nash
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nash
Horcoff
Last 5: Nash 2-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Nash
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
1
Nash
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (341)
51.2% (537)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
66.7% (15)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
24.0% (25)
47.3% (74)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Nash is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Nash shoots right. Horcoff is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Nash
Horcoff
Home
50.0% (200)
52.5% (343)
Away
48.9% (190)
49.5% (283)
By Period
Nash
Horcoff
P1
47.1%
48.2%
P2
60.6%
52.2%
P3
38.1%
52.7%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |