Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Costa on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 46.5% vs Costa 45.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Costa 50.6%
Defensive zone
Costa 51.5%
Neutral zone
Costa 50.6%
Result
Stephane Da Costa favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Nash
Costa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nash
Costa
Last 5: Nash 1-4 Costa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Costa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Costa
0
3
Nash
Costa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Costa
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (615)
41.7% (72)
+4.3%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
28.6% (7)
+30.0%
On power play, Nash has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Costa shoots right. Nash is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Nash shoots right. Costa is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Nash
Costa
Home
54.1% (320)
60.0% (10)
Away
38.4% (346)
37.7% (69)
By Period
Nash
Costa
P1
44.8%
33.3%
P2
47.5%
50.0%
P3
44.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Costa
44.0%▬
43.5%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Stephane Da Costa |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Stephane Da Costa |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Stephane Da Costa |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Stephane Da Costa |