Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 49.6% vs Gionta 43.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 71.6%
Defensive zone
Gionta 56.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 61.6%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Nash
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nash
Gionta
Last 7: Nash 4-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Nash
Gionta
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
2
0
Nash
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (341)
41.8% (612)
+8.9%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
61.5% (13)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
24.0% (25)
40.9% (66)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Gionta has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Nash is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Nash shoots right. Gionta is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Nash
Gionta
Home
50.0% (200)
41.3% (344)
Away
48.9% (190)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Nash
Gionta
P1
47.1%
39.8%
P2
60.6%
46.8%
P3
38.1%
39.5%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |