Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nash wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 46.5% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 71.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 59.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 74.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Nash
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nash
Sobotka
Last 5: Nash 1-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
3
Nash
Sobotka
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
Nash
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (615)
62.0% (637)
-16.0%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
62.6% (91)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
60.0% (85)
-32.7%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Nash is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Nash shoots right. Sobotka is 68.1% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Nash
Sobotka
Home
54.1% (320)
65.8% (371)
Away
38.4% (346)
58.6% (442)
By Period
Nash
Sobotka
P1
44.8%
63.0%
P2
47.5%
61.4%
P3
44.9%
60.7%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2014 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |