Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 50.3% vs Sheahan 53.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stafford 74.1%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 89.2%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 71.4%
Result
Drew Stafford favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Stafford
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stafford
Sheahan
Last 7: Stafford 4-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
4
1
Stafford
Sheahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Stafford
Sheahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (55)
56.4% (766)
-14.6%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
50.0% (28)
+19.2%
On power play, Stafford has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Stafford is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Stafford shoots right. Sheahan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Stafford
Sheahan
Home
47.6% (42)
57.3% (529)
Away
53.8% (39)
51.0% (504)
By Period
Stafford
Sheahan
P1
42.9%
56.5%
P2
48.0%
55.8%
P3
60.7%
50.8%
Final 5 min
38.9%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |