Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McKegg wins 65.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 52.6% vs Sheahan 50.7% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 54.8%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 71.1%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 50.7%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
McKegg
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McKegg
Sheahan
Last 6: McKegg 3-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
McKegg
Sheahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
1
McKegg
Sheahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (33)
52.8% (381)
+7.8%
On even strength, McKegg has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. McKegg is 65.2% vs left-shot opponents (23).
McKegg shoots left. Sheahan is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
McKegg
Sheahan
Home
54.5% (11)
51.7% (300)
Away
63.6% (22)
49.8% (203)
By Period
McKegg
Sheahan
P1
66.7%
56.7%
P2
66.7%
52.3%
P3
44.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
60.6%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |