Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.1%). Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Sheahan 50.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 26-13 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Sheahan 74.8%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 51.9%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 65.7%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Larsson
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
13
(39 meetings)
26
13
Larsson
Sheahan
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Larsson
Sheahan
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
15
2
Larsson
Sheahan
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Larsson
Sheahan
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
51.0% (4,968)
-0.5%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
55.6% (322)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
44.3% (1,068)
-0.5%
On power play, Sheahan has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Larsson
Sheahan
Home
51.2% (2,493)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Larsson
Sheahan
P1
51.6%
51.3%
P2
49.7%
51.2%
P3
47.2%
48.1%
OT
52.3%
35.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |