Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.7% vs Sheahan 49.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 64.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 65.4%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 66.7%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Staal
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Sheahan
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
2
Staal
Sheahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Staal
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (769)
49.7% (829)
+6.9%
Power Play
60.2% (98)
55.9% (102)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
38.5% (39)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Sheahan has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Staal shoots left. Sheahan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Staal
Sheahan
Home
57.8% (510)
50.1% (487)
Away
54.4% (375)
49.7% (483)
By Period
Staal
Sheahan
P1
55.1%
51.0%
P2
56.8%
52.9%
P3
57.1%
46.6%
OT
62.5%
38.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |