Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.9% vs Sheahan 46.3% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 65.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 91.6%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 85.8%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 87.5%
12.5%
87.5%
Hayes
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayes
Sheahan
Last 7: Hayes 5-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
1
Hayes
Sheahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (362)
45.9% (619)
-10.5%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
46.7% (45)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
44.9% (118)
-44.9%
On penalty kill, Sheahan has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Hayes is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Hayes shoots left. Sheahan is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Hayes
Sheahan
Home
36.8% (212)
44.8% (402)
Away
34.9% (169)
46.8% (380)
By Period
Hayes
Sheahan
P1
40.3%
48.9%
P2
31.1%
44.8%
P3
34.2%
43.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
29.6%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |