Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Sheahan 49.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 72.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 80.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 76.5%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Koivu
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Koivu
Sheahan
Last 9: Koivu 7-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Sheahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Sheahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
1
Koivu
Sheahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
49.7% (829)
+5.6%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
55.9% (102)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
38.5% (39)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Koivu shoots left. Sheahan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Koivu
Sheahan
Home
58.3% (906)
50.1% (487)
Away
52.1% (885)
49.7% (483)
By Period
Koivu
Sheahan
P1
53.0%
51.0%
P2
55.6%
52.9%
P3
56.6%
46.6%
OT
64.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |