Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 55.8% vs Sheahan 46.3% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 65.0%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 71.7%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 72.6%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Koivu
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Koivu
Sheahan
Last 6: Koivu 1-5 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
2
Koivu
Sheahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
3
Koivu
Sheahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,247)
45.9% (619)
+10.7%
Power Play
61.6% (344)
46.7% (45)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (167)
44.9% (118)
-3.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,142).
Koivu shoots left. Sheahan is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Koivu
Sheahan
Home
58.1% (850)
44.8% (402)
Away
54.3% (908)
46.8% (380)
By Period
Koivu
Sheahan
P1
55.3%
48.9%
P2
57.2%
44.8%
P3
55.1%
43.5%
OT
77.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |