Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.4% vs Sheahan 52.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 63.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 68.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 61.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Thompson
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Thompson
Sheahan
Last 7: Thompson 5-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Sheahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
2
Thompson
Sheahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (628)
52.6% (544)
+1.9%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
60.0% (10)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (113)
50.7% (134)
+0.6%
On power play, Sheahan has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Thompson shoots left. Sheahan is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Thompson
Sheahan
Home
55.6% (329)
51.9% (376)
Away
52.4% (431)
52.9% (312)
By Period
Thompson
Sheahan
P1
55.3%
57.6%
P2
48.1%
48.5%
P3
58.4%
52.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |