Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Patrick wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 48.9% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 74.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 81.8%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 57.2%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Patrick
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Patrick
Sheahan
Last 5: Patrick 2-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Patrick
Sheahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Patrick
Sheahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (156)
50.7% (357)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
50.0% (8)
+6.3%
On power play, Patrick has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Patrick shoots right. Sheahan is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Patrick
Sheahan
Home
43.8% (96)
44.8% (248)
Away
53.9% (76)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Patrick
Sheahan
P1
44.4%
46.2%
P2
45.6%
50.5%
P3
56.0%
44.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |