Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.1%). Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.0% vs Sheahan 50.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Sheahan leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 67.0%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 65.8%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 54.1%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Patrick
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
17
(26 meetings)
9
17
Patrick
Sheahan
Last 10: Patrick 2-8 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
2
Patrick
Sheahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
7
Patrick
Sheahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
6
8
Patrick
Sheahan
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
51.0% (4,968)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
55.6% (322)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
44.3% (1,068)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Patrick shoots right. Sheahan is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,365).
Home / Away
Patrick
Sheahan
Home
49.7% (1,106)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Patrick
Sheahan
P1
52.9%
51.3%
P2
49.1%
51.2%
P3
51.3%
48.1%
OT
40.0%
35.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |