Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sheahan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 53.8% vs Johansen 55.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 76.3%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 85.8%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 61.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Sheahan
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sheahan
Johansen
Last 7: Sheahan 2-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Sheahan
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
0
Sheahan
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sheahan
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (766)
55.9% (1,157)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
56.5% (237)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (239)
43.3% (67)
+4.4%
On power play, Johansen has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Sheahan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Sheahan shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Johansen
Home
57.3% (529)
55.8% (733)
Away
51.0% (504)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Sheahan
Johansen
P1
56.5%
53.5%
P2
55.8%
55.9%
P3
50.8%
57.2%
OT
42.9%
47.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | OT | 04:39 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |