Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sheahan wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 49.1% vs Johansen 52.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 91.0%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 62.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Sheahan
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Sheahan
Johansen
Last 9: Sheahan 7-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sheahan
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
4
1
Sheahan
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
0
Sheahan
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (613)
53.4% (845)
-2.5%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
58.8% (102)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (201)
44.7% (85)
-1.9%
On power play, Johansen has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Sheahan is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Sheahan shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Johansen
Home
51.1% (409)
53.2% (479)
Away
47.1% (425)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Sheahan
Johansen
P1
46.8%
53.8%
P2
54.6%
53.9%
P3
45.9%
52.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |