Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.1%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sheahan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 52.0% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 54.5%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 65.6%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 59.6%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Sheahan
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Sheahan
Stamkos
Last 7: Sheahan 1-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Sheahan
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Sheahan
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Sheahan
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (544)
52.9% (735)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
53.4% (73)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
53.8% (145)
-3.1%
On power play, Sheahan has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Sheahan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Sheahan shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Stamkos
Home
51.9% (376)
54.1% (481)
Away
52.9% (312)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Sheahan
Stamkos
P1
57.6%
50.2%
P2
48.5%
53.4%
P3
52.8%
55.8%
OT
20.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |