Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sheahan wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 49.1% vs Nosek 50.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 77.3%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 75.7%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 55.5%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Sheahan
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sheahan
Nosek
Last 6: Sheahan 4-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Sheahan
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
3
1
Sheahan
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
0
Sheahan
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (613)
51.2% (377)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
50.0% (10)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (201)
41.3% (46)
+1.5%
On power play, Sheahan has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Sheahan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sheahan shoots left. Nosek is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Nosek
Home
51.1% (409)
48.3% (240)
Away
47.1% (425)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Sheahan
Nosek
P1
46.8%
48.4%
P2
54.6%
51.4%
P3
45.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |