Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.0%). Look for Sheahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sheahan wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 49.1% vs Johnson 49.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 76.7%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 77.2%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 53.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Sheahan
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Sheahan
Johnson
Last 9: Sheahan 4-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Sheahan
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Sheahan
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
4
0
Sheahan
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (613)
47.2% (286)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
61.8% (55)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (201)
33.3% (12)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Sheahan has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Sheahan is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Sheahan shoots left. Johnson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Johnson
Home
51.1% (409)
55.0% (151)
Away
47.1% (425)
44.6% (202)
By Period
Sheahan
Johnson
P1
46.8%
42.3%
P2
54.6%
56.2%
P3
45.9%
47.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |