Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sheahan wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 49.1% vs Seguin 57.4% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 64.8%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 86.7%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 69.8%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Sheahan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Sheahan
Seguin
Last 9: Sheahan 2-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Sheahan
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Sheahan
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (613)
59.6% (736)
-8.7%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
61.5% (65)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (201)
47.6% (124)
-4.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Sheahan is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Sheahan shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Seguin
Home
51.1% (409)
60.1% (461)
Away
47.1% (425)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Sheahan
Seguin
P1
46.8%
59.1%
P2
54.6%
58.9%
P3
45.9%
57.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 11:21 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |