Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sheahan wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 46.3% vs Rask 51.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 66.1%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 77.2%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 68.5%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Sheahan
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sheahan
Rask
Last 7: Sheahan 2-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Sheahan
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Sheahan
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
0
Sheahan
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (619)
51.7% (862)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.7% (45)
45.3% (64)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
44.4% (9)
+0.5%
On even strength, Rask has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Sheahan is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Sheahan shoots left. Rask is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Rask
Home
44.8% (402)
53.6% (466)
Away
46.8% (380)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Sheahan
Rask
P1
48.9%
52.4%
P2
44.8%
50.5%
P3
43.5%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
45.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Victor Rask |