Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schremp on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schremp wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schremp 46.8% vs Connolly 47.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 67.1%
Defensive zone
Connolly 53.7%
Neutral zone
Connolly 52.6%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Schremp
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Schremp
Connolly
Last 7: Schremp 5-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
1
Schremp
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schremp
3
1
Schremp
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schremp
2
0
Schremp
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schremp
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (410)
47.4% (1,307)
-0.6%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
50.2% (251)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
41.9% (186)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Schremp is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Schremp shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Schremp
Connolly
Home
48.3% (238)
48.5% (870)
Away
44.0% (248)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Schremp
Connolly
P1
54.1%
47.4%
P2
44.1%
47.7%
P3
41.5%
47.0%
OT
25.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schremp
40.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Rob Schremp |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Rob Schremp |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Rob Schremp |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Rob Schremp |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Rob Schremp |