Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 44.1%). Look for Suomela on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 46.2% vs Thomas 45.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Suomela leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 54.1%
Defensive zone
Suomela 60.2%
Neutral zone
Suomela 50.4%
Result
Antti Suomela favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Suomela
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Suomela
Thomas
Last 10: Suomela 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suomela
3
2
Suomela
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Suomela
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suomela
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (224)
42.9% (196)
+2.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.5% (23)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Suomela is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Suomela shoots left. Thomas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Suomela
Thomas
Home
50.0% (102)
43.6% (133)
Away
40.2% (127)
44.8% (87)
By Period
Suomela
Thomas
P1
49.3%
45.9%
P2
37.9%
45.9%
P3
47.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
44.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |