Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Thomas 52.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 71.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 70.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 70.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Kopitar
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Kopitar
Thomas
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
5
Kopitar
Thomas
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
9
Kopitar
Thomas
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
53.6% (924)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
55.2% (181)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
44.0% (116)
+3.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Thomas
Home
56.3% (783)
53.6% (606)
Away
55.5% (825)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Kopitar
Thomas
P1
57.9%
48.2%
P2
54.5%
55.3%
P3
55.2%
55.2%
OT
57.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
55.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |