Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Goodrow wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Thomas 52.7% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 84.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 74.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Goodrow
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Goodrow
Thomas
Last 8: Goodrow 6-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
1
Goodrow
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
1
Goodrow
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
53.6% (924)
-6.8%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
55.2% (181)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
44.0% (116)
-1.3%
On power play, Thomas has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Goodrow is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Goodrow shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Thomas
Home
44.3% (314)
53.6% (606)
Away
47.7% (279)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Goodrow
Thomas
P1
46.8%
48.2%
P2
44.0%
55.3%
P3
47.1%
55.2%
OT
40.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
43.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |