Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.1%). Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Thomas 52.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 64.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 77.2%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 62.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Goodrow
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Goodrow
Thomas
Last 6: Goodrow 5-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Goodrow
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
5
0
Goodrow
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
53.2% (1,166)
+2.3%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
56.9% (262)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
48.4% (221)
-3.8%
On power play, Thomas has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Goodrow is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Goodrow shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Thomas
Home
57.2% (332)
51.6% (830)
Away
50.3% (292)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Goodrow
Thomas
P1
50.8%
52.7%
P2
59.5%
55.6%
P3
51.8%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |