Frederick Gaudreau vs Robert Thomas
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Thomas 52.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 50.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 77.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 62.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Gaudreau
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gaudreau
Thomas
Last 7: Gaudreau 2-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
4
Gaudreau
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
53.2% (1,166)
-4.2%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
56.9% (262)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
48.4% (221)
+0.7%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Gaudreau shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Thomas
Home
50.8% (319)
51.6% (830)
Away
48.7% (228)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Gaudreau
Thomas
P1
53.4%
52.7%
P2
47.4%
55.6%
P3
50.0%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |