Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dach wins 36.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 35.5% vs Thomas 49.9% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 82.7%
Defensive zone
Dach 79.9%
Neutral zone
Dach 81.7%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Dach
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Dach
Thomas
Last 8: Dach 1-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
4
Dach
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Dach
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Dach
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (510)
49.0% (910)
-16.5%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
53.5% (142)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
53.3% (75)
-15.8%
On power play, Thomas has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Dach is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Dach shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Dach
Thomas
Home
33.5% (278)
47.3% (514)
Away
32.2% (267)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Dach
Thomas
P1
35.3%
50.4%
P2
30.6%
47.5%
P3
33.7%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
38.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |