Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Zegras 35.4% (+21.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 50.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 82.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 78.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Thomas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Thomas
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
29.6% (230)
+20.5%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
32.1% (56)
+30.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
100.0% (1)
-47.4%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Thomas shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Thomas
Zegras
Home
51.9% (374)
30.6% (147)
Away
51.9% (453)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Thomas
Zegras
P1
49.2%
33.0%
P2
55.3%
31.7%
P3
50.6%
25.6%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |